General

All Underdog Theorem opinions, reviews, cheers, jeers, questions, comments – anything related to the Underdog Theorem that doesn’t apply to another topic in the forum, can be posted here.

Sample Data

The Sample Data links in the sidebar take you to five seasons of NFL data. These seasons were selected because they offer a range of results. The 1995 season was the Underdog Theorem’s best – every pick it made came in. It was for the Underdog Theorem what 1972 was for the Miami Dolphins.

Schedule Conflicts and the Week 9 Rule

Please review the explanation of Schedule Conflicts in the book. If you don’t already have a copy of the book you can pick one up here.

Week 9 was originally selected because it was a conservative play that approximated the midpoint of the season. It has served

Bankroll and Amount Per Bet

As explained in the book, the Underdog Theorem always uses the following figure – 1000 units for the season’s bankroll, 110 units as the minimum bet. Also explained in the book is the fact that you can adjust

High Risk Bets

HR bets receive a lot of face time in the book. (If you don’t already have a copy of the book you can pick one up here.) These bets

Point Spread vs. Moneyline

On page 99 of The Underdog Theorem I present the following question as an example of what might be asked over in the forum.  “Why don’t we bet the moneyline instead of the point spread, and try to win several times our money instead of the standard bet of 110 to win 100?”